Florida Center for Nursing Update
FROM: Florida Center for Nursing
RN and LPN Supply and Demand Forecasts, 2010-25: Florida's Projected Nursing Shortage in View of the Recession and Healthcare Reform
If healthcare reform is implemented according to current plans, a shortage of about 5,900 registered nurse (RN) full-time equivalents (FTEs) in 2010 will grow to more than 50,300 RN FTEs by 2025. Based on the average proportion of an FTE worked by RNs, this translates into an estimated 56,000 RNs that will be demanded but unavailable for employers in 2025. Under healthcare reform, a shortage of about 1,261 licensed practical nurse (LPN) FTEs in 2010 could grow to more than 12,500 LPN FTEs by 2025. Though smaller in magnitude than the RN shortage, a significant shortage of LPNs could negatively affect elder care settings such as nursing homes, home health agencies, and hospices. When key provisions of healthcare reform expanding access to care are implemented in 2014, demand for RNs will increase rapidly.